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February 13, 2012

Will the Delhi Attack trigger the war on Iran?

February 13, 2012

February 13, 2012

(Photo: Mossad Chief)

The most obvious and apparent side of the New Delhi explosion which targeted the Israeli consulate earlier today, was the timing: a day after the fourth anniversary of Imad Moghnieh's assassination in Damascus.
The less obvious side was the regional context. The attack comes at a point where the United States is trying to convince Israel of postponing its plans to launch air strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. The Daily Beast reported that Mossad's chief Tamir Pardo's secret visit to Washington earlier this month was trying to "gauge how the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama would react to an Israeli strike against Iran's nuclear program". Defense Secretary Leon Panetta reportedly told a Washington Post columnist, Israel will probably strike Iran in April, May, or June.
On the other hand, it seems Hezbollah and Iran are also begging an attack or an escalation to help their ally President Bashar Assad of Syria overcome the revolution that threatens his weakened regime. An Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, followed by a war with Hezbollah in South Lebanon, might be capable of turning attention away from events in Syria. If you are not convinced, just look at Bahrain's case.  
Today's attacks might turn the table. Will the United States and the Western world become more tolerant of an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program? Is Iran willing to sacrifice its nuclear program to keep Assad in place?


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